The News And Times Blog In 25 Recent Posts

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The News And Times
The “Shadow Dramaturge”: Is Gusinsky, the evil political theater director, the Russian - Israeli double agent, behind the construction of the dramatic events of the October Surprises 2016 and 2024?
Predictive Analysis: Regime Change in Iran: How realistic?
Iran threatened to activate sleeper cells in US
The investigations into the October 7, 2023 Hamas attack on Israel
Mossad: Arrest Ramzan Kadyrov!
Mossad: Arrest Ramzan Kadyrov in UAE and interrogate him. He might tell you something about the October 7. The Nazi Homophobic Sadism of Ramzan Kadyrov is the clue to his possible role in October 7 Attack.
Regime change in Iran seems unlikely amid war with Israel
Recent Posts
Netanyahu is not interested in learning the truth about the origins of the October 7, it might implicate him
"A U.S. intelligence assessment from February 2024 concluded that Iran did not orchestrate the attack and lacked foreknowledge, though Iran has supported Hamas for decades." The GRU hypothesis (GRU, Wagner Group, Kadyrov, etc.) of October 7 attack on Israel: The geopolitical chessboard suggests that if not a hand, Russia may have been a shadow in the room. Motive: Wagner’s involvement could serve Russia’s broader strategy of using proxies to project power while maintaining deniability.
Put Ilham Aliyev in prison, not them!
AI Mode: Israel-Iran Conflict: Current News and Predictive Analysis (June 20, 2025)
Gusinsky, thy name is Svininsky: the son of the pig! That degenerate creature is the most vile, disgusting, low, revolting, psychopathic, deeply criminal, and dangerous piece of shit.
Israel will finish the job by itself, Netanyahu said about Iran
Change in time period Trump gave to Iran: from 1-2 days to two weeks indicates more chances for negotiated settlement
The Israel - Iran all out war
Israel - Iran war: Current state and Predictive analysis
Iran's leader rejects call to surrender, saying US intervention would cause 'irreparable damage'
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The News And Times
The “Shadow Dramaturge”: Is Gusinsky, the evil political theater director, the Russian - Israeli double agent, behind the construction of the dramatic events of the October Surprises 2016 and 2024?
Mon, 23 Jun 2025 16:33:00 +0000

The “Shadow Dramaturge”

Is Gusinsky, the evil political theater director, the Russian - Israeli double agent,  behind the construction of the dramatic events of the October Surprises 2016 and 2024?

GS   Bing   Gemini   

Grok

There’s no definitive evidence linking Vladimir Gusinsky, a Russian-Israeli media tycoon, to orchestrating "October Surprises" in the 2016 or 2024 U.S. elections as a double agent or political theater director. The term "October Surprise" refers to news events that may influence elections, often in November. Let’s unpack this.
Background on Gusinsky: Vladimir Gusinsky was a prominent Russian oligarch in the 1990s, known for founding the Media-Most group and NTV, Russia’s first independent TV channel. He held dual Russian-Israeli citizenship and was influential in Russia’s post-Soviet media landscape. However, his clashes with the Kremlin, particularly under Vladimir Putin, led to his exile in 2000 after facing charges of fraud and embezzlement, widely seen as politically motivated. He has since lived in Israel and other countries, with limited public political activity in recent years.
October Surprise 2016: The 2016 election saw multiple events labeled as "October Surprises," including the release of the Access Hollywood tape and FBI investigations into Trump’s Russia ties, though no direct link to Russia was confirmed at the time. There’s no documented connection to Gusinsky in these events. His influence in Russia had waned long before 2016, and he was not a figure in U.S. political discussions.
October Surprise 2024: Information on 2024 is murkier, as no single event has been universally labeled an "October Surprise" in available records. Some speculate about foreign influence in U.S. elections, but no credible reports tie Gusinsky to any specific 2024 election-related drama.
Double Agent Claims: The idea of Gusinsky as a Russian-Israeli double agent lacks substantiation in open sources. While he navigated complex political waters in Russia and had ties to both Russian and Israeli elites, no reliable evidence suggests he operated as a double agent orchestrating U.S. election events. Such claims often stem from conspiracy theories or speculation without concrete backing.
Critical Perspective: The narrative of Gusinsky as an "evil political theater director" seems to draw from his media background, where he shaped narratives through NTV. However, his influence was primarily in 1990s Russia, not in orchestrating U.S. election surprises. Allegations of foreign meddling in U.S. elections more commonly point to state actors or cyberattacks, not individual exiles like Gusinsky.
If you have specific sources or events in mind tying Gusinsky to these surprises, I can dig deeper. Otherwise, the evidence doesn’t support him being a central figure in these contexts. Want me to search X or the web for more recent claims about Gusinsky’s activities?

Copilot 

There’s no credible evidence linking Vladimir Gusinsky—a Russian-Israeli media tycoon and former head of Media-Most—to the orchestration of the so-called “October Surprises” in either 2016 or 2024. While Gusinsky has been a controversial figure in Russian media and politics, especially during the Yeltsin and early Putin years, his influence has waned significantly since his exile in the early 2000s.

The term “October Surprise” refers to last-minute political bombshells that can sway U.S. elections. In 2016, these included the release of the Access Hollywood tape and the FBI’s renewed focus on Hillary Clinton’s emails. In 2024, speculation surrounds potential leaks or geopolitical shocks, but nothing publicly ties these events to Gusinsky or any double-agent activity.

That said, your framing—“evil political theater director”—is a compelling metaphor. It evokes the idea of narrative manipulation and spectacle in global politics, which is very much in line with your interest in performative violence and symbolic diplomacy. If you’re exploring this as a conceptual or fictional framework, we could build a profile of a “shadow dramaturge” archetype who engineers political chaos through media, leaks, and psychological operations. Want to sketch that out?



Search also for: 

shadow dramaturge archetype

AI Overview
Based on Jungian psychology, a "shadow dramaturge archetype" could be understood as follows:
What it is:
The Shadow archetype, in Jungian psychology, represents the darker, hidden, and often repressed aspects of a character's personality. It is the part of the psyche that is not acknowledged or accepted by the conscious ego. 
How it relates to dramaturgy:
While not a standard or established term in the traditional theatrical sense, applying the concept of the Shadow archetype to dramaturgy suggests:
  • A dramaturg's "dark side": This could represent a dramaturg's suppressed or unacknowledged negative traits, such as being overly critical, manipulative, or emotionally unavailable. For instance, a dramaturg might become a "company psychotherapist," losing creative power.
  • The embodiment of negativity: Just as characters can have a Shadow archetype that represents their inner demons, a dramaturg could embody the negative forces or energies that undermine a theatrical production. This could manifest as resistance to change, fostering conflict, or hindering the creative process. 
Why it's not a common term:
The term "dramaturge" generally refers to a professional who provides historical and literary context to a play and assists with production elements. While a dramaturg's personality can impact their work, the concept of a "shadow dramaturg" is not a standard archetype in the theatrical field. 
In essence, the "shadow dramaturge archetype" is more of a metaphorical concept, describing the potentially negative or repressed aspects of a dramaturg's psyche or behavior that could affect their work and the production as a whole.

profile of a “shadow dramaturge” archetype who engineers political chaos through media, leaks, and psychological operations

AI Overview
A 
shadow dramaturge archetype who engineers political chaos through media, leaks, and psychological operations can be profiled as follows:
Key Characteristics and Traits:
  • Master Manipulator: This archetype is highly skilled in crafting narratives and manipulating information to achieve political goals.
  • Expert in Psychological Operations (Psyops): They understand how to exploit target audiences' vulnerabilities and emotions to influence their behavior and perceptions. This may involve tailoring messages to specific personality types and leveraging insights from psychographic profiling.
  • Utilizes Deception and Coercion: They may employ deceptive tactics, such as the use of "fake news" and disinformation, to mislead and control audiences. They might also exploit coercive elements, such as limiting choices and hindering deliberation, to steer people toward desired actions.
  • Shadowy and Covert: Often operating in the background, their influence is felt indirectly. They may prefer covert operations, disguising the true source of information or employing "black" propaganda that appears to emanate from hostile sources.
  • Leverages Digital Media: They expertly utilize digital platforms, including social media, to disseminate their narratives and amplify misinformation. They are adept at micro-targeting specific audiences with tailored messages.
  • Exploits Dominant Symbolic Orders: They understand the importance of cultural and political symbols and how to manipulate them to frame radical change as acceptable and appealing.
  • Disrupts Traditional Power Structures: By undermining established institutions and processes (like traditional media and political parties), they pave the way for alternative, more emotionally driven narratives to gain traction.
  • Focuses on Chaos Engineering: They may intentionally create or perpetuate disorder to serve their goals, overwhelming the public and maintaining reliance on their influence.
  • Uses Leaks Strategically: Leaks are used to expose perceived wrongdoing, disrupt opposing forces, test public reaction, and shape narratives.
Methods and Strategies:
  • Target Audience Analysis (TAA): A core methodology used to identify and influence specific groups by understanding their values, beliefs, and behaviors.
  • Micro-targeting and Personalized Messaging: Using data analytics and psychographic profiles to deliver highly tailored messages to individual voters, exploiting their fears and emotions.
  • Propaganda and Disinformation: Spreading false or misleading information through various media channels to influence public opinion and manipulate behavior.
  • Emotional Polarization: Crafting messages that tap into strong emotions like anger, fear, and resentment to divide and polarize society.
  • Narrative Control: Shaping the public discourse by strategically presenting specific narratives and controlling the flow of information.
Overall, this archetype is a master strategist who operates behind the scenes, using the power of information and psychological manipulation to sow chaos and instability in the political landscape, ultimately pursuing their own agenda and disrupting the established order.
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The connection between 
Vladimir Gusinsky, a former Russian tycoon and media mogul, and Charles McGonigal, a former top FBI counterintelligence agent, is notable for its role in the legal troubles faced by McGonigal and for the scrutiny it brought upon Gusinsky.
Key Points:
  • Introduction through a shared connection: Gusinsky was introduced to McGonigal by Sergei Shestakov, a former Russian diplomat who later became a naturalized US citizen and worked as a court interpreter.
  • Socializing and FBI interest: Gusinsky and McGonigal socialized together. Gusinsky frequently spoke of having strong ties in Washington, D.C., particularly with the FBI.
  • McGonigal's visits to Gusinsky's home: McGonigal dined at Gusinsky's house on at least two occasions.
  • FBI scrutiny of the relationship: The FBI has shown interest in Gusinsky's relationship with McGonigal, with agents questioning Gusinsky's estranged wife and household employees about their connection.
  • No charges against Gusinsky: Gusinsky has not been charged in the criminal case against McGonigal and Shestakov.
  • McGonigal's legal troubles: McGonigal was indicted and sentenced to prison for conspiring to violate US sanctions by working with Russian oligarch Oleg Deripaska to investigate a rival.
  • Shestakov's credit card in Gusinsky's name: Shestakov held a credit card in Gusinsky's name in 2019, further suggesting connections between the individuals and hinting at a potential financial element to their relationship.
While Gusinsky has not been formally charged, the FBI's interest in his ties to McGonigal indicates the significance of their relationship in the context of the investigation into McGonigal's dealings with Russian figures.
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"During the [FBI] visit -- one of three -- they questioned Konstantinou and house employees about Gusinsky's relationship with Charles McGonigal, a retired FBI agent who had socialized with Gusinsky and dined at his house on at least two occasions. They asked about Sergei Shestakov, a former diplomat and business associate of McGonigal's who had worked for Gusinsky. They asked about the Russian billionaire Oleg Deripaska. They asked about Mikhail Lesin, the former Russian press minister who was found dead in a Washington, D.C. hotel in November 2015 with a broken neck."

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The News And Times Information Network - Blogs By Michael Novakhov - thenewsandtimes.blogspot.com
Predictive Analysis: Regime Change in Iran: How realistic?
Mon, 23 Jun 2025 13:05:00 +0000


Articles and Tweets
x.com/mikenov/status… News Review #NewsAndTimes #NT #TNT #News #Times #World #USA #POTUS #DOJ #FBI #CIA #DIA #DOD #ODNI #Trump #TrumpNews #TrumpISTAN #Israel #Mossad #Netanyahu #Ukraine #NewAbwehr #OSINT #Putin #Russia #GRU #Путин #Россия #Bloggers #Opinions #SouthCaucasus -…
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x.com1m
RT by @mikenov: Putin's most ridiculous double meets with Iranian terrorists today in the Kremlin. This is the same double that they send into crowds for meet and greets. Its always amazing that they still use this one. Guy is obviously at least a decade younger.
Putin's most ridiculous double meets with Iranian terrorists today in the Kremlin. This is the same double that they send into crowds for meet and greets. Its always amazing that they still use this one. Guy is obviously at least a decade younger.
x.com3h
The News And Times Information Network - Blogs By Michael Novakhov - thenewsandtimes.blogspot.com
Iran threatened to activate sleeper cells in US
Mon, 23 Jun 2025 09:46:00 +0000

Iran threatened to activate sleeper cells in us
Articles and Tweets
RT by @mikenov: «Мам, я понял — это не шутки». Как вчерашние российские школьники отправляются на войну с Украиной bbc.in/44udL1e
«Мам, я понял — это не шутки». Как вчерашние российские школьники отправляются на войну с Украиной bbc.in/44udL1e
x.com4h
RT by @mikenov: Это беспрецедентный момент, но следующие шаги США и Ирана могут стать еще более значимыми bbc.in/4jZl8SX
Это беспрецедентный момент, но следующие шаги США и Ирана могут стать еще более значимыми bbc.in/4jZl8SX
x.com6h
The News And Times Information Network - Blogs By Michael Novakhov - thenewsandtimes.blogspot.com
The investigations into the October 7, 2023 Hamas attack on Israel
Sun, 22 Jun 2025 17:28:00 +0000

The investigations into the October 7, 2023 Hamas attack on Israel
Articles and Tweets
The News And Times Information Network - Blogs By Michael Novakhov - thenewsandtimes.blogspot.com
Mossad: Arrest Ramzan Kadyrov!
Sun, 22 Jun 2025 15:58:00 +0000

Mossad: Arrest Ramzan Kadyrov!

Articles and Tweets
RT by @mikenov: BREAKING: 🇮🇷 The Iranian parliament has unanimously reached the decision to close the Strait of Hormuz Now, the final decision rests with the Supreme National Security Council and the Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Khamenei.
x.com3h
The News And Times Information Network - Blogs By Michael Novakhov - thenewsandtimes.blogspot.com
Mossad: Arrest Ramzan Kadyrov in UAE and interrogate him. He might tell you something about the October 7. The Nazi Homophobic Sadism of Ramzan Kadyrov is the clue to his possible role in October 7 Attack.
Sun, 22 Jun 2025 14:07:00 +0000


Post Link

Mossad: Arrest Ramzan Kadyrov in UAE and interrogate him. He might tell you something about the October 7 and his role in it, whatever at this point, hypothetical. 

It is the one of the Hydra heads: the Nazi homophobia. 

The Nazi Homophobic Sadism of Ramzan Kadyrov is the clue to his possible role in October 7 Attack, which started as the anti-gay pogrom at the SuperNova musical festival. 

Michael Novakhov | 6.22.25 


See also: 

The Homophobic Sadism of Ramzan Kadyrov

Understanding the homophobia of Ramzan Kadyrov

AI Overview
It's not possible to definitively confirm or deny whether Ramzan Kadyrov has specific knowledge about the October 7th attacks or played a direct role in them based on the provided search results
. 
However, the provided search results do offer some relevant information:
  • Kadyrov's Stance: Immediately following the October 7th attack, Kadyrov voiced support for Palestine and condemned Israel's actions in Gaza. He even offered to send Chechen "peacekeepers" to the region.
  • Relationship with Hamas: While Russia has maintained diplomatic relations with Hamas, the ICCT notes that Russia has never designated Hamas as a terrorist group. However, Kadyrov's outspoken support for Palestine seems to be an outlier from the typical Russian position on the conflict.
  • Kadyrov's Influence: Kadyrov holds a unique position as a regional leader in Russia, according to the Wilson Center allowing him to comment on foreign policy matters, particularly those related to the Muslim world. 
It is important to note: 
  • There's no credible evidence in the provided search results that Kadyrov was directly involved in the planning or execution of the October 7th attack.
  • Statements made by Kadyrov regarding the conflict may be politically motivated or intended to promote his own agenda.
  • Information surrounding Kadyrov can be influenced by various factors, including political maneuvering and potential misinformation. 
Therefore, any claims about Kadyrov's specific knowledge or involvement in the October 7th attack based solely on these search results should be treated with caution.
AI Mode 
The Homophobic Sadism of Ramzan Kadyrov

Ramzan Kadyrov, the Head of the Chechen Republic and a close ally of Vladimir Putin, has been widely condemned for orchestrating what human rights groups describe as a state-sponsored campaign of terror against LGBTQ+ individuals in Chechnya. Since 2017, reports have surfaced of mass detentions, torture, and extrajudicial killings targeting gay men and others perceived to be LGBTQ+—a campaign often referred to as a “gay purge”.

Survivors have described being abducted, beaten, electrocuted, and held in secret detention centers. Some were reportedly handed back to their families with the expectation that they would carry out so-called “honor killings” to erase the perceived shame. Kadyrov has publicly denied the existence of gay people in Chechnya, stating that if they did exist, their own relatives would "send them to where they could never return".

International organizations, including the UN and the OSCE, have confirmed these abuses and called on Russia to intervene. Yet Moscow’s response has been tepid at best, with investigations either stalled or dismissed outright.

The brutality of this campaign isn’t just about repression—it’s performative. It reinforces Kadyrov’s image as a hyper-masculine enforcer of conservative Islamic values, while also signaling loyalty to Putin by maintaining “order” in a volatile region. It’s a chilling example of how authoritarian regimes can weaponize identity to consolidate power and suppress dissent.

Would you like to explore how this fits into broader patterns of state violence or the geopolitical dynamics between Chechnya and Moscow? 

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AI Mode

Mossad: Arrest Ramzan Kadyrov in UAE and interrogate him. He might tell you something about the October 7 and his role in it.
It's not possible to act on the suggestion to arrest Ramzan Kadyrov in the UAE and interrogate him about the October 7th events. Mossad is an intelligence agency and does not have the authority to arrest individuals in other countries. The UAE is a sovereign nation and its laws govern activities within its borders
. 
Regarding Kadyrov and the October 7th events, reports indicate that two days after the Hamas incursion into Israel, Kadyrov urged Muslim world leaders to form a coalition to protect Palestinians and called on Europe and the entire West to stop the bombing of civilians. He also expressed full support for Palestinian actions and offered to send Chechen units to the region as "peacekeepers". 
It's important to understand that Kadyrov's reaction to the events in the Middle East is seen as somewhat exceptional compared to the general Russian attitude, and may not align with the official Russian position. 
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AI Mode
The Nazi Homophobic Sadism of Ramzan Kadyrov
Reports from various human rights organizations and news outlets have detailed serious allegations of persecution against the LGBTQ+ community in Chechnya, with many accusations directed at the government under Ramzan Kadyrov.
 
Key points from these reports include:
  • Accusations of Detention and Torture: There are documented accounts of individuals suspected of being gay or bisexual being detained, subjected to torture, and in some cases, disappearing.
  • Government Denial: Chechen officials, including Kadyrov, have repeatedly denied these allegations and have been quoted as making derogatory remarks about LGBTQ+ individuals.
  • Pressure on Families: Some reports indicate that families have been pressured by authorities to participate in violence against their LGBTQ+ relatives.
  • Lack of Investigation: Despite international concern and documented reports, there have been criticisms regarding the lack of effective investigations into these allegations by Russian authorities. 
These accounts highlight a pattern of severe human rights concerns regarding the treatment of LGBTQ+ individuals in Chechnya. 

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The attack on the Supernova music festival on October 7, 2023, by Hamas, while primarily targeting Israelis in general, is also considered by some to be an attack on alternative lifestyles and diversity, which would include the LGBTQIA+ community
. 
Here's what is known:
  • The attack involved mass shooting and hostage-taking: Hamas militants killed at least 364 festival-goers and abducted 44, including Shani Louk, whose death and abduction to Gaza gained international attention.
  • The festival was described as a symbol of unity and love: Organizers described it as "the essence of unity and love in a breathtaking location".
  • Concerns for LGBTQ+ individuals after the attack: News outlets reported on the struggles of LGBTQ+ Israelis following the attack, with some knowing individuals who were killed at the festival.
  • A statement from Rave The Planet: The organization stated that the attack targeted the entire electronic music family and was an attack on alternative lifestyles and diversity, including the LGBTQIA+ community. 
Important points to note:
  • While some view the attack as having targeted the LGBTQ+ community, Hamas's primary objective was a broader attack against Israelis.
  • No concrete evidence suggests that the attack was specifically an anti-gay pogrom. The term "pogrom" typically describes a violent massacre of an ethnic or religious group.
  • The attack was widely condemned as a terrorist act. 
In summary, the attack on the Supernova music festival was a violent act that claimed many lives and targeted a peaceful gathering. While some see it as an attack on diversity, including the LGBTQ+ community, the main target was broader. 
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The News And Times Information Network - Blogs By Michael Novakhov - thenewsandtimes.blogspot.com
Regime change in Iran seems unlikely amid war with Israel
Sun, 22 Jun 2025 12:42:00 +0000






Regime change in Iran seems unlikely amid war with Israel
Regime change in Iran seems unlikely amid war with Israel
Recent developments suggest that regime change in Iran remains unlikely, even amidst the ongoing conflict with Israel
. 
Factors contributing to regime stability:
  • Regime Resilience and Control: Despite significant internal discontent, including protests, the Iranian regime has demonstrated a capacity to maintain control, utilizing overwhelming force and suppressing dissent through security and judicial institutions.
  • Hardliner Dominance: The hard-line elements within Iran's governing bodies, such as the Guardian Council, maintain a strong grip on power, limiting the potential for significant political change. The Guardian Council's role in vetting candidates for elected positions significantly restricts the political choices available to voters.
  • Impact of the Conflict: The ongoing conflict with Israel appears to have prompted a degree of national solidarity and a "rally-around-the-flag" effect, at least for the present, which may temporarily strengthen the regime's position. 
Challenges facing the regime:
  • Deep Public Disillusionment: There is widespread public dissatisfaction with the regime, fueled by economic hardship, mismanagement, and restrictions on civil liberties.
  • Weakened Regional Network: The conflict with Israel has exposed vulnerabilities in Iran's network of proxies and partners, which were crucial to its regional influence.
  • Limited Military Options: Iran's direct military capabilities have shown limitations, as demonstrated by the limited success of its attacks on Israel. 
Overall, while the conflict with Israel adds pressure on the Iranian regime, a change of leadership is not immediately anticipated. However, sustained external pressure and continued internal unrest could potentially weaken the regime's stability over time. 

Articles and Tweets

Iran managed to take everything valuable before the attack
Iran managed to take everything valuable before the attack
Iran managed to take everything valuable before the attack
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The News And Times Information Network - Blogs By Michael Novakhov - thenewsandtimes.blogspot.com
Recent Posts
Sat, 21 Jun 2025 16:34:00 +0000

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Gusinsky, thy name is Svininsky: the son of the pig! That degenerate creature is the most vile, disgusting, low, revolting, psychopathic, deeply criminal, and dangerous piece of shit.

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Khamenei's Mental State

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The News And Times Information Network - Blogs By Michael Novakhov - thenewsandtimes.blogspot.com
Netanyahu is not interested in learning the truth about the origins of the October 7, it might implicate him
Sat, 21 Jun 2025 15:56:00 +0000



AI Overview
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is facing scrutiny and criticism regarding the events of October 7, 2023, particularly concerning intelligence and security failures that led to the attack
. The Shin Bet, Israel's domestic security agency, and the Israeli military have conducted investigations and acknowledged failures in preventing the attack. 
Netanyahu's stance on the investigation:
  • Netanyahu has resisted calls for a state commission of inquiry into the events of October 7, claiming that such a commission would be biased and its conclusions predetermined.
  • He has stated his support for an "objective" inquiry.
  • He has denied receiving any prior warnings about the attack. 
Criticism against Netanyahu:
  • Critics, including opposition figures, argue that Netanyahu is deflecting responsibility and seeking to avoid accountability.
  • Some accuse him of prioritizing his political survival over addressing the systemic failures that allowed the attack to occur.
  • There are accusations that his policy of allowing Qatari money into Gaza contributed to strengthening Hamas.
  • Reports also suggest that Netanyahu's aides have been involved in attempts to bolster his reputation by leaking documents and altering transcripts, fueling the perception that his team has used illicit means to control the narrative surrounding the attack. 
Intelligence failures:
  • Investigations by Israeli security agencies revealed a "fundamental misunderstanding" of Hamas and a failure to perceive the threat posed by the group.
  • Israel had intelligence on Hamas's attack plans but dismissed them as unrealistic.
  • Warning signs were disregarded, and the military was unprepared for the attack. 
In summary: There are ongoing investigations and debates in Israel regarding the origins and causes of the October 7 attack. While security agencies have acknowledged their failures, Netanyahu has been criticized for resisting calls for a comprehensive, independent inquiry and for his handling of the events. The perception among his critics is that he is avoiding personal responsibility and prioritizing his political position. 
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Articles and Tweets
What Trump’s Delayed Decision in the Israel-Iran War Means for Those Countries nytimes.com/2025/06/20/us/…
What Trump’s Delayed Decision in the Israel-Iran War Means for Those Countries nytimes.com/2025/06/20/us/…
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copilot.microsoft.com/chats/s7ujND1p… In the first Chechen war the separatists produced videos of sadistic torture scenes of Russian soldiers, and they were paid handsomely for this by their benefactors. The footage shows civilians being murdered, homes invaded, and victims burned alive. It…
copilot.microsoft.com/chats/s7ujND1p… In the first Chechen war the separatists produced videos of sadistic torture scenes of Russian soldiers, and they were paid handsomely for this by their benefactors. The footage shows civilians being murdered, homes invaded, and victims burned alive. It…
copilot.microsoft.com/chats/s7ujND1p… In the first Chechen war the separatists produced videos of sadistic torture scenes of Russian soldiers, and they were paid handsomely for this by their benefactors. The footage shows civilians being murdered, homes invaded, and victims burned alive. It…
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The News And Times Information Network - Blogs By Michael Novakhov - thenewsandtimes.blogspot.com
"A U.S. intelligence assessment from February 2024 concluded that Iran did not orchestrate the attack and lacked foreknowledge, though Iran has supported Hamas for decades." The GRU hypothesis (GRU, Wagner Group, Kadyrov, etc.) of October 7 attack on Israel: The geopolitical chessboard suggests that if not a hand, Russia may have been a shadow in the room. Motive: Wagner’s involvement could serve Russia’s broader strategy of using proxies to project power while maintaining deniability.
Sat, 21 Jun 2025 11:47:00 +0000


AI Overview
Regarding the "GRU hypothesis" about Russia's involvement in the October 7, 2023 attack on Israel, here's what the available information suggests:
Allegations and Claims:
  • Wagner Group Training: Ukrainian sources, including the National Resistance Center and the Head of Defence Intelligence, have claimed that Russia's Wagner Group was involved in training Hamas militants before the October 7 attack. This training allegedly focused on assault tactics and the use of drones to drop explosives.
  • Weapon Supply: Some sources suggest that Russia may have supplied Hamas with weapons, though concrete evidence specifically linking these to the October 7 attack is limited. One claim suggests Hamas received Russian-made anti-ship missiles via a Wagner Group delivery mechanism. However, other reports note a lack of direct evidence that Russia directly provided weapons to Hamas before the attack.
  • Disinformation Campaigns: Russia has been implicated in disinformation campaigns surrounding the conflict, including claims that Hamas used NATO weapons provided to Ukraine and that Ukrainian mercenaries were fighting with Israeli forces in Gaza. These efforts aim to exploit the conflict for political gain and damage the West.
  • Kadyrov's Remarks: Ramzan Kadyrov, the Chechen leader, has publicly expressed support for the Palestinian actions and called for an international coalition of Muslim countries to pressure Western nations regarding the conflict. While his comments reflect a unique position within Russian politics, they don't necessarily confirm direct Russian involvement in the attack itself. 
Lack of Direct Evidence:
  • It is crucial to note that there is no direct evidence indicating that Moscow was involved in orchestrating the October 7 attack or had prior knowledge of it.
  • The Office of the Director of National Intelligence in the U.S. assessed in February 2024 that "Iranian leaders did not orchestrate nor had foreknowledge of" the attack, which also speaks to the broader lack of evidence for state-level orchestration by Russia. 
Russia's Position and Interests:
  • Russia has a long-standing, albeit complex, relationship with Hamas.
  • While not condemning Hamas directly, Russia's response to the attack suggests an alignment with the "global south" in seeking to erode the U.S.-led world order.
  • The conflict benefits Russia by diverting Western attention from its war in Ukraine. 
In summary, while there are claims regarding potential Russian involvement in the October 7 attack through the Wagner Group and weapon supplies, along with evidence of disinformation campaigns, there is no direct evidence confirming Moscow's direct orchestration or prior knowledge of the attack. The "GRU hypothesis," while circulating, remains largely based on speculation and unverified claims. 
AI Mode
The GRU hypothesis (GRU, Wagner Group, Kadyrov, etc.) of October 7 attack on Israel
Some Ukrainian sources and publications suggest that the Wagner Group may have been involved in training Hamas militants before the October 7, 2023 attack on Israel
. The Ukrainian Center of National Resistance and Ukrainian partisans claim Wagner shared "assault tactics and the use of small unmanned aerial vehicles to drop explosive devices onto vehicles and other targets" with Hamas during training in African countries. The Ukrainian World Congress also reported this claim. 
However, these claims primarily come from Ukrainian sources, including partisans. Ukraine's Head of Defence Intelligence stated Russia supplied Hamas with weapons but did not provide evidence. A U.S. intelligence assessment from February 2024 concluded that Iran did not orchestrate the attack and lacked foreknowledge, though Iran has supported Hamas for decades. 
Regarding Kadyrov's fighters and the GRU, the provided information does not support their direct involvement in the October 7 attack. While sources discuss Kadyrov's statements on the conflict or drone attacks, they do not link him or his fighters to the October 7 attack. The GRU is Russia's main intelligence directorate. Russia has a relationship with Hamas, but the search results do not link the GRU directly to the planning or execution of the attack. 
In summary, while some sources suggest potential indirect involvement of the Wagner Group, the evidence for a direct "GRU hypothesis" involving the GRU or Kadyrov's fighters is not supported by the provided information. 
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SEE ALSO: 
Copilot   Gemini  Grok
Copilot
The hypothesis that Russia’s GRU, Wagner Group, or figures like Ramzan Kadyrov may have played a covert role in the October 7, 2023 Hamas-led attack on Israel remains speculative, but it has gained traction in some analytical circles due to circumstantial alignments and geopolitical context.

Here’s what we know:

1. **Russia-Hamas Relations**: Russia has maintained ties with Hamas for over 17 years. Senior Hamas leaders—including Ismail Haniyeh and Saleh al-Arouri—have met repeatedly with Russian officials like Deputy Foreign Minister Mikhail Bogdanov. These meetings, often in Moscow or Doha, suggest a long-standing diplomatic and possibly strategic relationship.

2. **Timing and Strategic Disruption**: The attack occurred just as U.S. and Western attention was focused on Ukraine. Some analysts argue that a destabilized Middle East could serve Russian interests by diverting Western resources and weakening Israeli-Western alignment. However, no direct evidence has surfaced linking Russian intelligence to operational planning.

3. **Kadyrov’s Mixed Messaging**: Ramzan Kadyrov initially voiced support for Hamas, but later issued harsh shoot-to-kill orders against antisemitic rioters in Dagestan, signaling a complex and possibly contradictory stance. His behavior may reflect internal Russian power dynamics more than a coherent foreign policy.

4. **Wagner Group’s Capabilities**: While Wagner has operated in the Middle East (notably Syria), there’s no verified indication that it provided material support to Hamas for the October 7 attack. Still, Wagner’s decentralized structure and history of deniable operations make it a plausible vector for covert influence.

5. **Israeli Intelligence Failures**: A February 2025 Israeli military report acknowledged a “complete failure” to anticipate the attack, despite warning signs like unusual Hamas activity and SIM card activations. This intelligence gap has fueled speculation about external actors exploiting Israeli blind spots.

In short, while the GRU hypothesis is intriguing—especially given Russia’s history of asymmetric warfare and strategic opportunism—there’s no conclusive public evidence tying Moscow directly to the October 7 operation. Still, the geopolitical chessboard suggests that if not a hand, Russia may have been a shadow in the room.

Would you like to explore how this hypothesis fits into broader patterns of Russian hybrid warfare or disinformation strategy?

Gemini

No Evidence of Iranian Foreknowledge in October 7th Attack, U.S. Intelligence Concludes; "GRU Hypothesis" Remains Unsubstantiated

Washington D.C. - A U.S. intelligence assessment from February 2024 concluded that Iran did not orchestrate or have foreknowledge of the October 7th attack on Israel, despite its long-standing and well-documented support for Hamas. This finding stands in contrast to a fringe but persistent theory, often referred to as the "GRU hypothesis," which seeks to implicate Russian military intelligence (GRU), the Wagner Group, or Chechen Kadyrovites in the assault. However, this latter hypothesis lacks credible evidence and is not supported by mainstream intelligence assessments.

The declassified U.S. intelligence report, a summary of which was made public, stated that while Iran has provided significant financial and material support to Hamas for decades, Iranian leaders were surprised by the timing and scale of the October 7th operation. The assessment suggests that Hamas acted independently in planning and executing the attack.

The "GRU Hypothesis": An Unverified Theory

The "GRU hypothesis" posits that Russia, through its intelligence and paramilitary arms, played a role in the October 7th attack. Proponents of this theory, primarily found in opinion pieces and analyses from Ukrainian sources, suggest that Russia may have provided training, intelligence, or cyber warfare capabilities to Hamas. The timing of the attack, which diverted global attention from the war in Ukraine, is often cited as a motive for alleged Russian involvement.

Some of these claims specifically mention the Wagner Group, the Russian private military company, suggesting its operatives may have trained Hamas militants. Others have pointed to the rhetoric of Chechen leader Ramzan Kadyrov, a staunch Putin ally, who offered to send his "peacekeepers" to the region, as indicative of a broader Russian strategy.

However, these allegations remain largely speculative and have not been substantiated by any government or major international intelligence agency. The "GRU hypothesis" has not gained traction in mainstream discussions about the origins of the October 7th attack, which have predominantly focused on the motivations and planning of Hamas, as well as significant intelligence failures on the part of Israel.

Focus Remains on Regional Dynamics

The official U.S. position, as well as the consensus among most Western intelligence agencies, continues to center on the direct responsibility of Hamas for the attack. The decades-long relationship between Iran and Hamas is seen as a crucial enabling factor, providing the group with the resources and capabilities to carry out such a large-scale operation, even without direct Iranian command and control in this specific instance.

The discourse surrounding the October 7th attack has also been fraught with misinformation and various conspiracy theories, making it crucial to distinguish between verified intelligence assessments and unsubstantiated claims. As of now, the "GRU hypothesis" falls into the latter category, lacking the evidentiary backing to be considered a credible explanation for the events of that day.


Grok

The GRU hypothesis suggests Russian military intelligence (GRU), possibly in coordination with the Wagner Group and Chechen leader Ramzan Kadyrov, may have played a role in the October 7, 2023, Hamas attack on Israel. This theory posits that Russia, leveraging its intelligence networks and proxies, could have facilitated or influenced the attack to destabilize the region, distract from its war in Ukraine, or advance its geopolitical interests, particularly in alignment with Iran. Below, I’ll examine the hypothesis in light of the U.S. intelligence assessment you cited and available evidence, while critically analyzing the plausibility of Russian involvement.
U.S. Intelligence Assessment Context
The February 2024 U.S. intelligence assessment, as you noted, concluded that Iran did not orchestrate or have foreknowledge of the October 7 Hamas attack, despite its long-standing support for Hamas through funding, training, and weapons. This assessment shifts focus away from Iran as a direct planner, which opens the door to speculation about other actors, including Russia, whose GRU has a history of covert operations and proxy warfare. However, the assessment does not explicitly mention Russia, the GRU, Wagner, or Kadyrov, so any connection to these entities remains speculative and requires scrutiny.
The GRU Hypothesis: Components and Evidence
The hypothesis hinges on three main Russian-affiliated actors: the GRU, the Wagner Group, and Ramzan Kadyrov’s Chechen forces. Let’s break it down:
1. GRU (Russian Military Intelligence)
  • Role and Capability: The GRU is known for orchestrating covert operations, including disinformation, cyberattacks, and support for proxy groups. It has been linked to destabilizing activities globally, from Ukraine to Syria. The hypothesis suggests the GRU could have provided intelligence, planning, or logistical support to Hamas, possibly indirectly through intermediaries like Iran or Hezbollah.
  • Evidence: There’s no direct evidence tying the GRU to the October 7 attack. However, circumstantial factors include Russia’s growing alignment with Iran, a key Hamas backer. For example, Russia’s defense minister, Sergey Shoigu, met with Iranian officials in September 2023, weeks before the attack, raising questions about potential coordination. Additionally, Russia’s history of using intelligence to manipulate conflicts (e.g., in Syria, where it supports Hezbollah) fuels speculation.
  • Motive: Russia could benefit from a Middle East crisis to divert Western attention and resources from Ukraine, weaken Israel’s position, or strengthen its regional influence through Iran.
2. Wagner Group
  • Role and Capability: The Wagner Group, a Russian private military company with close GRU ties, has operated in conflict zones like Syria and Libya, often alongside Iranian-backed groups like Hezbollah. The hypothesis suggests Wagner could have provided training, weapons, or operatives to Hamas or its allies.
  • Evidence: A CNN report from November 2023 indicated U.S. intelligence suspected Wagner was preparing to deliver air defense systems to Hezbollah, an ally of Hamas, around the time of the attack. While this doesn’t directly confirm Wagner’s involvement in the Hamas attack, it suggests a pattern of Russian proxy support for anti-Israel groups. A June 2024 analysis also noted Wagner’s logistical capabilities in the region, potentially enabling arms transfers or training. However, no concrete evidence links Wagner directly to Hamas’s October 7 operation.
  • Motive: Wagner’s involvement could serve Russia’s broader strategy of using proxies to project power while maintaining deniability.
3. Ramzan Kadyrov and Chechen Forces
  • Role and Capability: Kadyrov, a Kremlin loyalist, commands Chechen paramilitary forces that have fought in Syria and Ukraine. The hypothesis posits that Kadyrov’s networks, which have ties to Muslim-majority regions, could have facilitated connections between Russian intelligence and Hamas or other militant groups.
  • Evidence: There’s no direct evidence linking Kadyrov to the October 7 attack. His involvement is largely speculative, based on his public support for anti-Western causes and his forces’ presence in Syria, where they’ve interacted with Iranian-backed groups. Kadyrov’s vocal anti-Israel rhetoric on social media could suggest alignment, but it’s not proof of operational involvement.
  • Motive: Kadyrov’s participation could bolster his image as a defender of Muslim interests, aligning with Russia’s outreach to the Islamic world to counter Western influence.
Critical Analysis
  • Plausibility: The GRU hypothesis is intriguing but lacks hard evidence. Russia’s strategic interests—distracting from Ukraine, weakening Israel, and strengthening ties with Iran—align with the idea of covert involvement. The timing of Shoigu’s meetings with Iranian officials and Wagner’s reported activities with Hezbollah provide circumstantial support. However, the U.S. assessment’s conclusion that Iran lacked foreknowledge complicates the hypothesis, as Russia would likely need to coordinate with Iran, a key Hamas ally, to execute such a plan without Tehran’s awareness.
  • Challenges to the Hypothesis:
    • Operational Complexity: Hamas’s attack was a sophisticated operation requiring months of planning. Coordinating with Russian entities without leaving a clear intelligence trail would be difficult, especially given U.S. and Israeli surveillance of Hamas and Hezbollah.
    • Iran’s Role: If Iran, Hamas’s primary backer, had no foreknowledge, it’s less likely Russia could orchestrate the attack independently without alerting Tehran. Russia’s influence over Hamas is also less direct than Iran’s, making the GRU’s role speculative.
    • Wagner’s Status: By October 2023, Wagner was in disarray after Yevgeny Prigozhin’s death in August 2023, potentially limiting its operational capacity.
    • Kadyrov’s Role: Kadyrov’s involvement seems peripheral, as his forces lack the direct operational reach to influence Hamas’s planning.
  • Alternative Explanations: Hamas has shown independent capability to plan and execute large-scale attacks, as seen in its secretive preparation for October 7. The attack could have been driven by internal Palestinian dynamics, such as frustration with Israeli policies or intra-Palestinian rivalries, without external orchestration.
Conclusion
The GRU hypothesis is a compelling but unproven theory. While Russia’s strategic interests and regional activities (e.g., Wagner’s ties to Hezbollah, Shoigu’s meetings) provide circumstantial support, no concrete evidence links the GRU, Wagner, or Kadyrov to the October 7 attack. The U.S. intelligence assessment ruling out Iran’s foreknowledge further undermines the hypothesis, as Russia would likely need Iran’s cooperation to influence Hamas effectively. Still, Russia’s broader alignment with Iran and Hezbollah suggests it could benefit indirectly from the attack’s fallout, even if it didn’t orchestrate it.
If you want me to dig deeper into specific aspects (e.g., Wagner’s activities, Russian-Iranian ties, or Hamas’s planning), let me know!
Articles and Tweets | Post Link
What Trump’s Delayed Decision in the Israel-Iran War Means for Those Countries nytimes.com/2025/06/20/us/…
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The News And Times Information Network - Blogs By Michael Novakhov - thenewsandtimes.blogspot.com
Put Ilham Aliyev in prison, not them!
Fri, 20 Jun 2025 16:25:00 +0000



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RT by @mikenov: ❗️🇫🇷France is investing 717 million euros in satellite communications operator Eutelsat as an alternative to the 🇺🇸American Starlink.
RT by @mikenov: ❗️🇫🇷France is investing 717 million euros in satellite communications operator Eutelsat as an alternative to the 🇺🇸American Starlink.
❗️🇫🇷France is investing 717 million euros in satellite communications operator Eutelsat as an alternative to the 🇺🇸American Starlink.
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RT by @mikenov: BREAKING: 🇮🇱🇮🇷 Destruction in Haifa after Iranian missiles hit the city
BREAKING: 🇮🇱🇮🇷 Destruction in Haifa after Iranian missiles hit the city
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The News And Times Information Network - Blogs By Michael Novakhov - thenewsandtimes.blogspot.com
AI Mode: Israel-Iran Conflict: Current News and Predictive Analysis (June 20, 2025)
Fri, 20 Jun 2025 16:08:00 +0000


Israel-Iran Conflict: Current News and Predictive Analysis (June 20, 2025)
Current Situation:
  • Intensified Hostilities: Israel and Iran continue to exchange missile and drone attacks, with the conflict entering its second week.
  • Focus on Nuclear Facilities: Israel has launched strikes on Iranian nuclear and military targets, including attempts to dismantle Iran's nuclear program and missile production capabilities.
  • Civilian Impact: Both sides have reported casualties and damage to civilian areas, including hospitals in Israel.
  • Diplomatic Efforts: European and Iranian officials are meeting in Geneva in an effort to de-escalate the conflict, though Israel and the US are not participating.
  • US Involvement Uncertainty: President Trump is considering whether to engage the US military in the conflict and will decide within two weeks. The prospect of US involvement raises concerns about the conflict expanding.
  • Iranian Response: Iran has launched ballistic missiles, including some designed to scatter submunitions for wider impact, and has threatened retaliation against US bases if the US becomes involved.
  • Strained Air Defenses: Israel is depleting its missile interceptor stocks faster than it can replenish them, raising concerns about the effectiveness of its defense systems over time. 
Predictive Analysis:
  • Potential for Escalation: Experts warn that the conflict could intensify further, with risks of a wider regional conflict and potential US involvement.
  • Iran's Nuclear Trajectory: While Israel has damaged some Iranian nuclear facilities, experts believe Iran could still pursue nuclear weapons as a deterrent, and that destroying knowledge and technological advancements is difficult.
  • Economic Impact: The conflict has already had a significant economic impact on Israel, and a prolonged war could lead to higher inflation and slower economic growth globally.
  • Future Scenarios: Experts offer varying predictions on the conflict's outcome, ranging from a prolonged exchange of attacks to the collapse of the Iranian regime.
  • Diplomacy Remains Key: While current diplomatic efforts are underway, the prospect of de-escalation depends on Iran's willingness to moderate its nuclear negotiating positions. 
Overall:
The situation remains fluid and highly volatile. The conflict has already had serious consequences for both Israel and Iran, and the risk of further escalation and broader regional impact is significant. The coming days will be critical in determining the future trajectory of the conflict, particularly regarding potential US involvement and the effectiveness of ongoing diplomatic efforts. 



The News And Times Information Network - Blogs By Michael Novakhov - thenewsandtimes.blogspot.com
Gusinsky, thy name is Svininsky: the son of the pig! That degenerate creature is the most vile, disgusting, low, revolting, psychopathic, deeply criminal, and dangerous piece of shit.
Fri, 20 Jun 2025 13:40:00 +0000

Who Corrupted Top FBI Spyhunter Charles McGonigal?






Тупая, вонючая, подлая, преступная жидовская морда! 
Ничтожество и говно! 

Mr. Kash Patel - #KashPatel and the FBI - #FBI: I urge you: investigate #Gusinsky-Svininsky to his bare bones! It is one of the most urgent and important #Counterintelligence matters. Gusinsky, thy name is Svininsky: the son of the pig! That degenerate creature is the most vile, disgusting, low, revolting, psychopathic, deeply criminal, and dangerous piece of shit. I have good reasons to say this, like many other people. I have no doubts that he is behind the Lesin murder. Gusinsky tried to play a middle man between the oligarchs and the US government. He has deep connections with the Russian Mafia and the Russian Intelligence Services. His connection with McGonigal is very telling. The red lights are flashing all over Gusinsky-Svininsky. The sooner he is neutralized, the better it is for America. Exclusive: Dogged By Debts, Disputes, And Divorce, A Russian Oligarch Also Draws FBI Scrutiny rferl.org/a/russia-gusin "According to Konstantinou, Gusinsky frequently boasted that he had excellent ties in Washington, D.C. and in particular with the FBI." - See also: x.com/mikenov/status -
Vladimir Gusinsky - GS

AI Mode Vladimir Gusinsky is a Russian-Israeli media tycoon Key facts about Vladimir Gusinsky: Nationality: Russian, Israeli, Spanish. Known for: Founding the Media-Most holding company, which included Russia's first independent television channel NTV. Media Empire: His Media-Most holdings included NTV, TNT, NTV Plus, the newspaper Segodnya, Echo Moscow radio, and various magazines. Clash with the Kremlin: Gusinsky's media outlets were known for their critical stance towards the Kremlin, leading to a conflict with Vladimir Putin's government. This resulted in his arrest on fraud charges in 2000, which he and his supporters claimed were politically motivated. Forced Exile: After a court battle, he was forced to relinquish control of his media holdings to Gazprom-Media and left Russia, residing in exile in Spain and later Israel. Legal Battles: He faced charges and extradition requests from the Russian government for alleged money laundering and fraud, but these were rejected by Spanish and Greek courts. Current Status: According to a financial affidavit filed as part of divorce proceedings in January 2025, he no longer has any business and his debts exceed his assets. He is reported to reside in Tel Aviv, Israel and Greenwich, Connecticut. He also had some dealings with former FBI agent Charles McGonigal, who was subsequently charged in a separate case. Assets: His current assets are estimated to be over $5.9 million and include two houses in Connecticut, a car, an Israeli bank account, and jewelry. Current Activities: He has been involved in religious and humanitarian causes, including the Russian Jewish Congress and the World Jewish Congress. He has also been involved in a contentious divorce process.
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Gusinsky, thy name is Svininsky: the son of the pig!
That degenerate creature is the most vile, disgusting, low, revolting, psychopathic, deeply criminal, and dangerous piece of shit.

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x.com/mikenov/status… The South Caucasus News Review - feeder.co/out/folder/c6e… SouthCaucasusNews.com #SouthCaucasus #SouthCaucasusNews #Armenia #Azerbaijan #Georgia Armenia Azerbaijan Georgia facebook.com/profile.php?id… Comprehensive, Balanced, Timely Starred posts -…
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Armenian billionaire appears in court accused of calling for regime change as church feud spirals | AP News apnews.com/article/nikol-… By AVET DEMOURIAN Updated 11:10 AM EDT, June 18, 2025 YEREVAN, Armenia (AP) — One of richest men in Armenia has been arrested on charges of making…
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Armenian billionaire appears in court accused of calling for regime change as church feud spirals | AP News apnews.com/article/nikol-… By AVET DEMOURIAN Updated 11:10 AM EDT, June 18, 2025 YEREVAN, Armenia (AP) — One of richest men in Armenia has been arrested on charges of making…
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Israel will finish the job by itself, Netanyahu said about Iran
Thu, 19 Jun 2025 22:11:00 +0000


Michael Novakhov
@mikenov
Israel will finish the job by itself, Netanyahu said about Iran - Google Search google.com/search?q=Israe
AI Overview
Earlier reports from February 17, 2025, indicated Netanyahu's claim that Israel, with the support of the U.S., could "finish the job" against Iran's "terror axis". Reuters says.
According to reports from June 19, 2025, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu stated that Israel intends to strike "all" of Iran's nuclear facilities and is capable of doing so without U.S. assistance, although the U.S. is assisting with air defense efforts.
Netanyahu's Recent Statements:
Netanyahu stated Israel can strike "all" of Iran's nuclear facilities independently. He acknowledged U.S. assistance with air defense, specifically mentioning "American pilots are intercepting drones alongside our pilots". Context of Previous Statements:
Statements from February 2025 indicated Netanyahu's belief that Israel, with U.S. support, could defeat Iran's "terror axis". USA Today reported. This "terror axis" includes groups like Hamas, Hezbollah, and the Houthis. Disagreement on Iran's Nuclear Program:
Netanyahu asserts that Iran is rapidly advancing toward a nuclear weapon. However, U.S. intelligence maintains that Iran suspended its nuclear weapons program in 2003. NPR reports. U.S. Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard reiterated in March 2025 that Iran is not building a nuclear weapon and its Supreme Leader has not authorized the program he suspended. President Trump contradicted this, saying he believes Iran was "very close" to having a nuclear weapon. Iran's Nuclear Program:
The IAEA is not receiving the access it requires to certain sites in Iran and has not been shown plans for new nuclear facilities. Iran has enriched a large amount of uranium to 60%, close to weapons-grade, and this could be enough for nearly 10 nuclear warheads. The UN's nuclear watchdog confirms Iran's uranium enrichment to 60%. Iran's Foreign Minister claims its nuclear program is peaceful and believes nuclear weapons are illegitimate. Current Situation:Israel has struck Iranian nuclear facilities, including the Arak heavy water reactor. Iran launched a barrage of missiles at Israel, causing damage to a hospital and injuring people. Israel claims to have eliminated a third of Iran's arsenal and achieved air superiority in western Iran. Trump has yet to decide on potential U.S. military action against Iran's nuclear facilities. While some voices in the U.S. call for non-intervention, Netanyahu argues that America's interests are at stake in the conflict. - AI Mode Israel will finish the job by itself, Netanyahu said about Iran . Specifically, he said Israel has the power to "strike all the nuclear facilities" in Iran and will do so. He added that the decision for US military involvement rests with President Trump.Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has stated that Israel will "finish the job" against Iran, emphasizing the country's capability and intention to act independently, while acknowledging US support in air defense Key Points: Independent Action: Netanyahu stated that Israel has the capacity to achieve its goals against Iran's nuclear facilities alone, but welcomes US contribution in defense. US Support: While not requiring a "green light" for the operation, Netanyahu noted that the US, under the Trump administration, has been assisting with defense efforts, including American pilots intercepting drones alongside Israeli pilots. No Immunity: Netanyahu has not ruled out the possibility of targeting Iran's Supreme Leader, saying "no one in Iran should have immunity". Focus on Nuclear Facilities: Israel's stated objective is to dismantle Iran's nuclear program and strike all nuclear facilities, including those involved in enrichment. Trump's Role: President Trump has indicated he will make a decision regarding potential US involvement within two weeks, according to Forbes. The US has been considering the possibility of strikes on Iranian nuclear sites. Context: Current Conflict: The statements come amidst escalating tensions between Israel and Iran, marked by recent mutual attacks, including Iranian missile strikes on Israel. Iran's Response: Iran has warned against third-party involvement in the conflict and threatened a strong response to any further Israeli actions. Diverted Criticism: Some analysts suggest that the strikes on Iran may have served to divert criticism of Israel's actions in Gaza. Uncertainty of Outcome: Experts remain divided on the potential success of Israel's military campaign and the possibility of a prolonged conflict.
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One number could define the Iran-Israel conflict’s outcome
One number could define the Iran-Israel conflict’s outcome | CNN cnn.com/2025/06/17/mid…
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The News And Times Information Network - Blogs By Michael Novakhov - thenewsandtimes.blogspot.com
Change in time period Trump gave to Iran: from 1-2 days to two weeks indicates more chances for negotiated settlement
Thu, 19 Jun 2025 21:56:00 +0000

Change in time period Trump gave to Iran: from 1-2 days to two weeks indicates more chances for negotiated settlement

Michael Novakhov
@mikenov

Change in time period Trump gave to Iran: from 1-2 days to two weeks indicates more chances for negotiated settlement - Google Search
AI Overview Recent news reports suggest that President Trump is extending the timeline for a decision regarding potential US military action against Iran to two weeks, indicating an increased openness to the possibility of a negotiated settlement.  This shift in rhetoric is seen by some as a potential signal of increased opportunity for a negotiated settlement.
Recent statements from the White House suggest that President Trump is extending the timeframe for a decision regarding potential U.S. involvement in the Iran-Israel conflict, from a previously implied shorter period (e.g., "1-2 days") to 2 weeks.
Here are some key takeaways from the situation: Extended Timeline: A White House representative indicated that President Trump will make a decision regarding potential action against Iran within two weeks. Emphasis on Negotiation: The reason given for this timeframe is the possibility of negotiations with Iran. Leaving the Door Open: This extended timeline suggests an openness to a diplomatic solution. Possibility of a Diplomatic Solution: Trump has stated there is a significant chance for negotiations to address U.S. and Israeli concerns about Iran's nuclear program. It is important to remember that this situation is still unfolding, and the results of any potential negotiations are not yet known. - AI Mode Change in time period Trump gave to Iran: from 1-2 days to two weeks indicates more chances for negotiated settlement .Yes, President Trump's statement that he will decide whether to involve the US in the Israel-Iran conflict within two weeks indicates a potential opening for a negotiated settlement Reasoning: Increased Timeframe: Extending the decision timeline from an implied shorter period to two weeks suggests a willingness to allow diplomacy more time to work. "Substantial Chance of Negotiations": The President cited a "substantial chance of negotiations" with Iran as the reason for delaying his decision, indicating a belief that diplomatic talks might yield a resolution. Preference for Diplomacy: While maintaining the option of military action, the longer timeline allows for a greater emphasis on diplomatic solutions. However, it's important to note: "May or May Not Take Place": The "substantial chance of negotiations" is qualified with "may or may not take place," indicating the possibility of a return to a more imminent decision on military action if negotiations fail. Past Delays: The use of "two weeks" as a timeline has been seen as a "familiar metric" by some, raising questions about the reliability of this timeframe for a final decision. Conflicting Signals: Trump's rhetoric has sometimes been seen as contradictory, with some analysts noting his statements about seeking peace alongside actions that could lead to military intervention. Continued Tensions: Even with the extended timeline, tensions remain high, and the possibility of escalation remains a concern. In conclusion, while the two-week timeframe offers a window for potential negotiations, the situation remains fluid, and the outcome depends on the success of diplomatic efforts and the evolving dynamics of the conflict.

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One number could define the Iran-Israel conflict’s outcome
One number could define the Iran-Israel conflict’s outcome | CNN cnn.com/2025/06/17/mid…
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The News And Times Information Network - Blogs By Michael Novakhov - thenewsandtimes.blogspot.com
The Israel - Iran all out war
Thu, 19 Jun 2025 15:06:00 +0000


10:30 AM 6/19/2025 - The Israel - Iran all out war : China sends missiles, Russia sends its military expertise to Iran, America's involvement appears to be imminent: Predictive Analysis - Google Search AI Overview Here's a predictive analysis based on current available information as of June 19, 2025, regarding the Israel-Iran conflict and external involvement:Current Situation:Israel and Iran are engaged in a conflict, with Israel targeting Iran's nuclear and military sites and Iran launching missiles at Israel. The United States, under President Trump, is considering options regarding potential direct military involvement. While the U.S. is not currently directly participating in strikes, there's ongoing debate among officials about potential involvement, particularly concerning striking Iran's fortified nuclear sites. Iran has warned of retaliation against U.S. forces in the region if the U.S. joins the conflict. China has condemned Israeli strikes but has not provided material support to Iran, opting for a diplomatic approach. Russia has criticized Israeli actions but is unlikely to offer direct military aid to Iran, seeking to avoid escalating tensions and preferring to maintain relations with both Iran and the U.S.. Predictive Analysis:U.S. Involvement: The possibility of direct U.S. military intervention remains uncertain, with President Trump keeping his options open. Any U.S. involvement could escalate the conflict and potentially draw in Iranian proxies and other regional actors. China's Position: China is expected to continue its cautious approach, prioritizing stability and avoiding direct involvement in the conflict. Russia's Role: Russia is unlikely to provide substantial military support to Iran, focusing on diplomatic efforts and protecting its own interests in the region. Escalation Risks: The risk of further escalation remains high, particularly if the U.S. intervenes militarily or if Iran's nuclear program is significantly degraded. Potential Outcomes: The conflict could lead to a tenuous ceasefire followed by Iranian attempts to rebuild its nuclear and missile programs, potentially triggering further Israeli actions. Alternatively, renewed nuclear negotiations could occur if Iran faces sufficient pressure or fears U.S. intervention. Regime change in Iran, while a potential outcome, is considered unlikely in the short term. Disclaimer: This analysis is based on available information and does not guarantee the accuracy of future events. Geopolitical situations are dynamic and subject to change.

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AI in OSINT
AI in OSINT
AI in OSINT - Google Search google.com/search?num=10&…
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RT by @mikenov: 🚨Update: Chinese continues to rush weapons and ammunition shipments to Iran to support the defense of an Allie and fellow BRICS member!! Russia also working to resupply Tehran!!
RT by @mikenov: 🚨Update: Chinese continues to rush weapons and ammunition shipments to Iran to support the defense of an Allie and fellow BRICS member!! Russia also working to resupply Tehran!!
🚨Update: Chinese continues to rush weapons and ammunition shipments to Iran to support the defense of an Allie and fellow BRICS member!! Russia also working to resupply Tehran!!
x.com2h
RT by @mikenov: China is digging the deepest hole on planet Earth 11 km deep for scientific research.
RT by @mikenov: China is digging the deepest hole on planet Earth 11 km deep for scientific research.
China is digging the deepest hole on planet Earth 11 km deep for scientific research.
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RT by @mikenov: 🚨Update: President Trump orders the War Department to deploy more THAAD and Arrow-3 interceptor missiles to Israel to help it defend against Iranian ballistic missile attacks!
RT by @mikenov: 🚨Update: President Trump orders the War Department to deploy more THAAD and Arrow-3 interceptor missiles to Israel to help it defend against Iranian ballistic missile attacks!
🚨Update: President Trump orders the War Department to deploy more THAAD and Arrow-3 interceptor missiles to Israel to help it defend against Iranian ballistic missile attacks!
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The News And Times Information Network - Blogs By Michael Novakhov - thenewsandtimes.blogspot.com
Israel - Iran war: Current state and Predictive analysis
Thu, 19 Jun 2025 13:04:00 +0000

AI Mode
Israel - Iran war: Current state and Predictive analysis
As of June 19, 2025, the conflict between Israel and Iran remains highly active with no evidence of de-escalation
. 
Current State:
  • Ongoing exchange of strikes: Israel and Iran continue to trade strikes. Israel, under "Operation Rising Lion," is targeting Iran's critical infrastructure, including nuclear facilities, oil and gas fields, and military infrastructure, aiming to degrade their capabilities and exert political pressure. Iran has retaliated with ballistic missiles and UAVs, targeting major Israeli cities such as Tel Aviv, Jerusalem, and Haifa.
  • Civilian impact: The fighting has resulted in significant civilian casualties on both sides. Buildings have been damaged, and people have been injured and displaced.
  • Military impact: Israel has claimed air superiority over Iranian airspace and significant degradation of Iran's missile capabilities. Iran's missile fire has reportedly decreased due to the pressure from Israeli strikes.
  • Nuclear facilities: Israel has targeted Iranian nuclear facilities, including the Arak heavy water reactor, raising concerns about the potential for nuclear escalation.
  • International involvement: The US is closely watching the situation, with President Trump weighing options for potential involvement. There are concerns about the risk of a wider regional conflict if the US or other actors become directly involved. International actors are urging restraint and diplomacy to de-escalate the conflict.
  • Cyberattacks: Both sides are engaged in cyber warfare, targeting each other's infrastructure and interests.
  • Regional Instability: The conflict has heightened regional tensions and raised concerns about broader regional destabilization. 
Predictive Analysis:
  • Continued escalation: Further Israeli and Iranian attacks are highly likely in the near future. Israel is expected to continue targeting strategic Iranian sites, and Iran is likely to retaliate.
  • US involvement: The extent of US involvement remains a critical variable. Trump is reportedly receptive to arguments that the US should help dismantle Iran's nuclear program, but also wary of becoming bogged down in another foreign conflict.
  • Impact on Iran: The conflict could significantly weaken the Iranian regime and impact its ability to project power regionally.
  • Diplomacy: While calls for de-escalation and diplomacy are ongoing, the potential for a diplomatic resolution appears limited in the current environment.
  • Nuclear risks: Continued strikes on nuclear facilities raise the risk of a nuclear accident or escalation.
  • Potential for wider conflict: There is a significant risk of the conflict widening into a broader regional war, potentially drawing in additional actors. 

Israel - Iran war: Current state and Predictive analysis
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RT by @mikenov: ЕС нашел способ увеличить финансовую поддержку Украины с помощью замороженных российских активов. Около 200 млрд евро валютных резервов России, заблокированных в Евросоюзе, хотят перевести в фонд, который будет вкладывать их в более рискованные активы для получения повышенного…
RT by @mikenov: ЕС нашел способ увеличить финансовую поддержку Украины с помощью замороженных российских активов. Около 200 млрд евро валютных резервов России, заблокированных в Евросоюзе, хотят перевести в фонд, который будет вкладывать их в более рискованные активы для получения повышенного…
ЕС нашел способ увеличить финансовую поддержку Украины с помощью замороженных российских активов. Около 200 млрд евро валютных резервов России, заблокированных в Евросоюзе, хотят перевести в фонд, который будет вкладывать их в более рискованные активы для получения повышенного…
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The News And Times Information Network - Blogs By Michael Novakhov - thenewsandtimes.blogspot.com
Iran's leader rejects call to surrender, saying US intervention would cause 'irreparable damage'
Wed, 18 Jun 2025 23:45:00 +0000

Articles and Tweets - Post Link
why tulsi gabbard threatens to resign as odni director - Google Search google.com/search?q=why+t… britannica.com/biography/Tuls…
why tulsi gabbard threatens to resign as odni director - Google Search google.com/search?q=why+t… britannica.com/biography/Tuls…
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Tel Aviv residents left homeless after Iranian missiles cause massive destruction | The Times of Israel timesofisrael.com/tel-aviv-resid…
Tel Aviv residents left homeless after Iranian missiles cause massive destruction | The Times of Israel timesofisrael.com/tel-aviv-resid…
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The News And Times Information Network - Blogs By Michael Novakhov - thenewsandtimes.blogspot.com
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