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On Intelligence Analysis and the AI - The Procrustean Bed

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Search inside image Procrustean Bed | Procrustes Bed | Procrustes the stretcher | Procrustes Greek Mythology - YouTube Visit  Michael Novakhov @mikenov #CIA CIA: On Intelligence Analysis and the AI M.N.: If you "simplify data analysis" you will get the simplified results, which might be good for the weather forecasts but not the CIA. The task is to appreciate the complexity (and accompanying uncertainty) and to deal with it, not to reduce it by simplifying in the Procrustean bed of reductions. Until the new explanatory and investigative paradigm is found which will incorporate the "incongruencies" of these complexities and will "normalize" them in the broader conceptual framework. And this requires the creative human mind. - Procrustean bed of reductions: "According to Greek mythology, Procrustes was a robber who killed his victims in a most cruel and unusual way. He made them lie on an iron bed and would force them to fit the bed by cutting of

Israel’s Intelligence Disaster ... The Transformation of Diplomacy ... The Rebirth of Russian Spycraft ... Spycraft and Statecraft - via foreignaffairs.com ... Enemy drone that killed US troops in Jordan was mistaken for a US drone, preliminary report suggests - Saved Web Pages Review - The News And Times

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Saved Web Pages - Articles In Full Israel’s Intelligence Disaster posted at 11:52:06 UTC   via   foreignaffairs.com Hamas’s devastating terrorist attack against Israel has unleashed the most violent and serious conflict the country has seen in half a century. Already, at least 1,000 Israelis (and 14 U.S. citizens) have been killed. It is an astronomical number for such a small country—equivalent to 30,000 Americans. About 2,900 more Israelis have been injured and an estimated 150 others, including toddlers, grandmothers, and foreign nationals, have been taken hostage. Meanwhile, at least 900 Palestinians have been killed in the Gaza Strip, and another 4,500 have been injured. These figures are likely to rise. Israeli Prime Minister  Benjamin Netanyahu  has declared war, launched deadly airstrikes on the Gaza Strip—a densely populated Palestinian area controlled by Hamas that has been blockaded by Egypt and Israel for 16 years—and vowed to turn Hamas strongholds into ruins. With Hamas r